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by OrangeTee & Tie Pte Ltd.

OrangeTee | Comments on HDB Q1 2025 Flash Estimates

HDB Quarterly Data

HDB has just released the Q1 2025 real estate statistics. 

Prices

The HDB resale market exhibited notable resilience as prices rose for the 20th consecutive quarter. However, the pace of price growth has slowed for a second consecutive quarter,  indicating that some level of resistance is starting to set in against further price hikes.

According to public housing statistics released by HDB, prices rose by 1.5 per cent in the first quarter of 2025, slowing down from the 2.6 per cent growth registered in the fourth quarter and the 2.7 per cent gains in the third quarter of 2024. Furthermore, Last quarter's price growth was lower than the 1.8 per cent recorded in Q1 2024 and is the slowest growth since Q4 2023 at 1.1 per cent. 

Areas with slower price growth 

A deceleration in price growth or price drop was observed across most flat types, based on HDB caveat data from data.gov.sg. For instance, 4-room flats posted a quarterly price increase of 1.9 per cent in Q1 2025, a decline from the 2.2 per cent growth observed in the previous quarter. 5-room flats experienced a quarterly growth rate of 2.1 per cent in Q1 2025, compared to 2.7 per cent in Q4 2024.

For small flats, 2-room flats registered a growth rate of 1.5 per cent in Q1 2025, down from 2.3 per cent in the preceding quarter. 1-room flats recorded a quarterly price drop of 3.3 per cent in the first quarter of this year, compared to a 7.6 per cent increase in the preceding quarter.

Conversely, 3-room flats posted a faster growth of 2.2 per cent in Q1 2025, while executive flats registered a faster pace of increase at 1.3 per cent during the same timeframe.  


Sales Volume

The resale volume in Q1 2025 is 7.7 per cent lower than that in the same period last year. Despite the lower sales volume, the overall performance of resale flats in the first quarter of this year is considered remarkable. The resale market faced intense competition from the primary market, as HDB introduced more than 10,000 new flats during the BTO and SBF sales exercise in February 2025, coinciding with a continued price increase observed in the previous quarter. The trend shows that the HDB resale market remain resilient, even in the face of competition for buyers and rising prices.

Market Outlook

Although the macroeconomic landscape is likely to face increased uncertainties due to potential trade wars stemming from tariff policies enacted by the United States, the HDB resale market is expected to remain robust. The HDB housing market is likely to be more significantly impacted by domestic factors. 

For example, the market may be driven by a growing number of Singaporeans upgrading within the same HDB sector, as well as private homeowners opting to downsize to resale flats that offer greater affordability compared to private properties. Generous government subsidies and grants available to specific buyer groups will continue to enhance affordability, making it easier for first-time buyers and low-income households to access the resale market.





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